ISE 562; Dr. Theory
Decision Tree for Professor Smith’s Shoulder
Dr S awoke to intense pain in left shoulder.
Dr S went to sports medicine clinic for diagnosis; referred to orthopaedic surgeon
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Decision criteria important to Dr S:
ISE 562; Dr. Smith
– 9/11/2022
Correct diagnosis of problem
Elimination of pain
Restoration of shoulder power to 100% activity and range of motion
Minimization of cost
ISE 562; Dr. facing Dr S:
• Do nothing
• Go to PPO (preferred provider organization)
• Go to HMO (health maintenance organization)
• Where to get testing done
• Surgery impact and timing on schedule for next 6 months (vacation)
• Distance to travel for any physical therapy
• Back off on martial arts
9/11/2022 3
ISE 562; Dr. to organize this?
What are the alternatives? What are the uncertain events? What are the decision criteria? What are the payoffs?
Draft Decision Tree
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