程序代写 CCD25 from our analysis. This is the main town in Pacific Paradise and hous

Communication 11

Thank you for your help with planning our Vaccine Distribution Strategy and managing our budget for eradication measures. We are now looking at implementing the public health measures within a local area.

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So far, we have excluded CCD25 from our analysis. This is the main town in Pacific Paradise and houses many of our key facilities, from medical centres to schools. The town can be divided into nine zones, as shown on the following map:

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The map shows which facilities are located in which zone. The facilities considered are shown in the following table:

� Hotel � Town Hall � Police Station � Ambulance
� Hospital � Bus Depot � Bank � Convenience Store
� Supermarket � Fire Station � Library � Government Office
� Medical Centre � Wedding Chapel � Post Office � School
Currently these nine zones are all free of outbreaks and all facilities are available. Using our limited budget, each week we are able to choose one zone that does not have an outbreak in it to be the target of our public health measures. The zone chosen will effectively become immune to any future outbreaks.

Assuming each facility is of equal value, which zone do you think we should target with public health measures in the first week?

Communication 12

Unfortunately, at the end of each week there is a 0.2 probability of an outbreak in any zone that has not yet been the target of public health measures. If an outbreak occurs in a zone then that zone has to be quarantined for the foreseeable future and we lose general access to the facilities in that zone.

We have provided our data and a function you might find useful in a Python file.

We would like to keep at least one of each facility accessible. Based on the numbers of facilities in each zone, our current plan is to target public health measures for zones in the following order:

1, 6, 4, 3, 2, 0, 8, 7, 5

We will definitely be able to prevent outbreaks in Zone 1 in the first week but, for example, if there is an outbreak in Zone 6 in the first week then in the second week we will target Zone 4 instead.

If we follow this plan, what is the expected number of distinct facilities that will be accessible after nine weeks?

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